![]() ![]() 12-1 Penn State (Big Ten champ with regular-season loss to Minnesota): 94.9%ĩ. 12-1 LSU (SEC champ with loss to Texas A&M): 96.4%Ĩ. ![]() 12-1 Alabama (SEC champ with a loss to Auburn): 97.0%ħ. Obviously tons of other scenarios exist, but I was aiming to account for all the likeliest ones.Ħ. For the teams that aren't in bold, I created specific circumstances in parentheses. Teams in bold win out from here through championship week. Using the ESPN Stats & Information's playoff predictor tool (which itself uses FPI), I tried to create a hierarchy of College Football Playoff odds based on potential upcoming results. The initial rankings won't matter for all that long, though. We will argue about this because it's what we do. Alabama, LSU and Ohio State will probably be the top three in some order, Clemson and Penn State will be fourth and fifth, and from there we'll get a batch of one-loss teams (Oklahoma, Oregon, the Florida-Georgia winner, maybe Utah), then the remaining Power 5 unbeatens (Baylor and Minnesota). The first College Football Playoff rankings come out on Tuesday, and because there isn't a whole heck of a lot going on in Week 10 - four of the top five teams in this week's AP poll are on bye, and the fifth (Clemson) is playing Wofford - we have a decent idea of how the first rankings will look. What will we be arguing about in a month? To get ready for the biggest month of the college football season, let's take a look at the most important games and, probably, the biggest arguments we have in store for this glorious month ahead. It takes a couple of months to set the stakes for a given season, and then November settles them. Michigan beating Ohio State in 1969 to start the Ten Year War: Nov. Nebraska-Oklahoma 1971, aka the Game of the Century? Nov. most of what we end up actually remembering from a given season happens in a single month: November. The offseason lasts eight months (nine, if your team isn't very good), and we try to savor every ounce of the three to four months of action that we get. The college football calendar is a cruel one. Quarterback competition highlights Alabama spring game. ![]()
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